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Atlantic Hurricane Computer Spaghetti Models, hurricane forecast, hurricane tracking Map, Graphics and Advisories.
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Welcome to my hurricane tracking site. You will find as much information as possible about tropical cyclones / hurricanes located in the Atlantic, Gulf and Caribbean. A hurricane is a exceptionally powerful cyclone (storm) that generally forms in the tropics. The full definition of a hurricane is fairly lengthy, but is essentially a tightly circulating storm with sustained winds of at least 74 mph.

We will list the active hurricanes that are in the Atlantic, Gulf, Caribbean. Atlantic hurricane season is officially from June 1 to November 30. 
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Track of 2006 Storms

Track of 2005 Storms

FROM DR. WILLIAM GRAY. EXTENDED RANGE FORECAST OF ATLANTIC SEASONAL HURRICANE ACTIVITY AND U.S. LANDFALL STRIKE PROBABILITY FOR 2008
   
CLICK HERE FOR MORE INFORMATION ON THE UPDATED FORECAST FROM DR. WILLIAM GRAY. 

Below information is from Dr. Gray Web Site. Click above link for more information.

ATLANTIC BASIN SEASONAL HURRICANE FORECAST FOR 2008


Forecast Parameter and 1950-2000

Climatology (in parentheses)

Issue Date

8 December 7th 2007 forecast for 2008

Issue Date

9 April 2008
                        Issue Date

3 June 2008

Named Storms (NS) (9.6)

13
15
 15

Named Storm Days (NSD) (49.1)

60
80
 80

Hurricanes (H) (5.9)

7
8
 8

Hurricane Days (HD) (24.5)

30
40
 40

Intense Hurricanes (IH) (2.3)

3
4
 4

Intense Hurricane Days (IHD) (5.0)

6
9
 9

Accumulated Cyclone Energy (ACE) (96.1)

115
150
 150

Net Tropical Cyclone Activity (NTC) (100%)

125
160
 160

PROBABILITIES FOR AT LEAST ONE MAJOR (CATEGORY 3-4-5) HURRICANE LANDFALL ON EACH OF THE FOLLOWING COASTAL AREAS:

1) Entire U.S. coastline - 69% (average for last century 52%)

2) U.S. East coastline including Peninsula Florida - 45% (average for last century 31%)

3) Gulf Cost from Florida Panhandle westward to Brownsville - 44% (average for last century is 30%)

4) Above-average major hurricane landfall risk in the Caribbean

Summary verification of the authors’ seven previous years of seasonal forecasts for Atlantic TC activity between 2001-2007. From Dr. Gray Web Site


 

2001

 

7 Dec. 2000

Update

6 April

Update

7 June

Update

7 August

 

Obs.

No. of Hurricanes

5

6

7

7

9

No. of Named Storms

9

10

12

12

15

No. of Hurricane Days

20

25

30

30

27

No. of Named Storm Days

45

50

60

60

63

Hurr. Destruction Potential

65

65

75

75

71

Intense Hurricanes

2

2

3

3

4

Intense Hurricane Days

4

4

5

5

5

Net Tropical Cyclone Activity

90

100

120

120

142

 

 

2002

 

7 Dec. 2001

Update

5 April

Update

31 May

Update

7 August

Update

2 Sept.

 

Obs.

No. of Hurricanes

8

7

6

4

3

4

No. of Named Storms

13

12

11

9

8

12

No. of Hurricane Days

35

30

25

12

10

11

No. of Named Storm Days

70

65

55

35

25

54

Hurr. Destruction Potential

90

85

75

35

25

31

Intense Hurricanes

4

3

2

1

1

2

Intense Hurricane Days

7

6

5

2

2

2.5

Net Tropical Cyclone Activity

140

125

100

60

45

80

 

 

2003

 

6 Dec. 2002

Update

4 April

Update

30 May

Update

6 August

Update

3 Sept.

Update

2 Oct.

 

Obs.

No. of Hurricanes

8

8

8

8

7

8

7

No. of Named Storms

12

12

14

14

14

14

14

No. of Hurricane Days

35

35

35

25

25

35

32

No. of Named Storm Days

65

65

70

60

55

70

71

Hurr. Destruction Potential

100

100

100

80

80

125

129

Intense Hurricanes

3

3

3

3

3

2

3

Intense Hurricane Days

8

8

8

5

9

15

17

Net Tropical Cyclone Activity

140

140

145

120

130

155

173

 

 

2004

 

5 Dec. 2003

Update

2 April

Update

28 May

Update

6 August

Update

3 Sept.

Update

1 Oct.

 

Obs.

No. of Hurricanes

7

8

8

7

8

9

9

No. of Named Storms

13

14

14

13

16

15

14

No. of Hurricane Days

30

35

35

30

40

52

46

No. of Named Storm Days

55

60

60

55

70

96

90

Intense Hurricanes

3

3

3

3

5

6

6

Intense Hurricane Days

6